In Iran, we don’t have any reliable statistics about the political and non-political views of Iranians. In fact, the statistics and any precise data and information are the enemy of Mullahs and their Islamic regime. The Mullahs love ignorance and being ignorant, and their Islamic regime is based on it. But even in this situation, we still can have some sort of acceptable analysis about the Iranians and their views. Here we want to take a look at Iranian voters and their votes. In 2009, and in the past elections, we had three main groups of Iranian eligible voters. If we assume that the average number of eligible voters in the past elections was near 40 million, then the three main groups of eligible voters were as follow :
Group A : about 35% (14 million) of eligible voters, who boycotted almost any election in the Islamic regime (exception 1997 election) Group B : about 50% (20 million) of eligible voters, who voted only if they thought that they can change the behavior or power structure of the Islamic regime by their votes. The majority of them were young voters who sought “change” and “reform”.
Group C: about 15% (6 million) of eligible voters, who almost always voted for either Islamists-Reformists or Islamists.
In 2009, the number of eligible voters was near 45 million, and about 40% of group A, about 80% of group B, and about 90% of group C , participated in the election. It was for the first time that about 40% of group A, participated in an election. It’s almost obvious that voters of group A and B voted for Mousavi or Karoubi. But the interesting fact is that even the voters of group C, did not vote for Mr. shit, and many of them voted for Mousavi or Rezaii . So, in 2009, about 25 million to 30 million voted for Mousavi or Karoubi, and the number of Mr. shit’s votes, in the best case with the miracle of dead people’s ID cards, was near 5 million. But the Islamists and Khemenei’s thugs, who are the followers of Goebbels and Nazis, had a motto : “the bigger lie the better’, and so they called that Mr. shit had 24 million votes !!, and Mousavi and Karoubi had 13 million votes ! In fact, the number of Mr. shit’s votes were multiplied by 5 ! In this way the biggest election fraud in the history of Iran was formed and the frustrated Iranians poured into the streets after the election day.
The demographics of these three groups could be very interesting:
One of the interesting questions is about the structure of the Iranian protesters. In fact, about 90% of group A, about 80% of group B, and about 50% of group C protested after the election. The interesting point is that the group A, i.e. who boycott almost all elections and only about 40% of them voted in the 2009 election, were the main protesters and the most educated and active protesters. In fact, the group A who wanted to topple the Islamic regime, made use of the huge election fraud and along with the group B, protested against Khamenei and the Islamic regime. The group A wanted to topple the Islamic regime from the beginning of the protests, but group B preferred to follow the leadership of Mousavi. Now after 2 years, the majority of group B say that the group A were right and they had to listen to the group A. Now the majority of group B, have become members of the group A, and want to topple the Islamic regime ASAP. And the majority of group C have become members of group B.Now in 2011, the structure of the three main groups of eligible voters/protesters have changed as follow :
Group A : about 80% (36 million) of eligible voters, who not only boycott any election in the Islamic regime, but ask for fundamental change, and want to topple the whole reactionary system of the Mullahs, including the Islamist-Reformists (i.e. Khatamists and Rafsanjani’s mercenaries). Their bottom line is “toppling Khamenie”
Group B : about 18% (8 million) of eligible voters, who vote only if the managers of the election fraud, and Basiji killers and rapists would be brought to the trial. They could make deal with Khamenei, of course not like the stupid Khatami..
Group C: about 2% (1 million) still vote for either
Islamists-Reformists or Islamists.